Dendrochronological series are reliable sources of information to analyze past hydrological and climatological variation that provides useful information for the management of water resources within basins. We analyzed dendrochronological series obtained from the upper Mayo River Basin using principal components analysis to determine a common climatic signal. Although the complete series extended for over 350 years, the representative period common to all series was from 1750 to 2014 (265 years) with an expressed population signal of over 0.85. Climate data (precipitation and temperature) were collected from the North American Land Data Assimilation System 2 model of the Land Data Assimilation System and hydrometrics records were obtained from the National Commission of Water in Mexico. The results of the response function showed an association of mean monthly temperature with the ring width series for the months of December of the previous year, May and October of the year of growth, and seasonally from January to July (r = -0.75, n = 36, p < 0.05). A significant response to rainfall of earlywood growth was observed for June, November, and December of the previous year, January and February of the growth year, and seasonally, from October of previous year to May of the current growth year (r = 0.70, n = 35, p < 0.05). Significant association also was found between earlywood and the accumulated runoff from October of the previous year to May of the growth year, which was used for reconstruction of the runoff flow between 1750 and 2014, which showed evidence of decadal drought. Significant correlation was found between the reconstructed runoff series, and the Southern Oscillation index (r = -0.42, n = 228, p < 0.05), but not significant with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation index (r = 0.16, n = 115, p < 0.05). We also observed significant (p < 0.05) associations with the drought indices Palmer Drought Severity Index and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (r = 0.56, r = 0.41, respectively). Our study demonstrated the potential of assimilated data for dendroclimatic reconstructions and the feasibility of generating hydroclimatic information of extreme events that have not been recorded in the available climatic and hydrological instrumental records.
Keywords
, , ,
Citation
Martínez-Sifuentes AR, Villanueva-Díaz J, Estrada-Ávalos J (2020). Runoff reconstruction and climatic influence with tree rings, in the Mayo river basin, Sonora, Mexico. iForest 13: 98-106. - doi: 10.3832/ifor3190-013
Academic Editor
Carlotta Ferrara
Paper history
Received: Jul 10, 2019
Accepted: Jan 08, 2020
First online: Mar 11, 2020
Publication Date: Apr 30, 2020
Publication Time: 2.10 months
© SISEF - The Italian Society of Silviculture and Forest Ecology 2020
Open Access
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
Breakdown by View Type
(Waiting for server response...)
Article Usage
Total Article Views: 12585
(from publication date up to now)
Breakdown by View Type
HTML Page Views: 7656
Abstract Page Views: 647
PDF Downloads: 3748
Citation/Reference Downloads: 1
XML Downloads: 533
Web Metrics
Days since publication: 1507
Overall contacts: 12585
Avg. contacts per week: 58.46
Article Citations
Article citations are based on data periodically collected from the Clarivate Web of Science web site
(last update: Nov 2020)
(No citations were found up to date. Please come back later)
Publication Metrics
by Dimensions ©
Articles citing this article
List of the papers citing this article based on CrossRef Cited-by.
(1)
Allen C, Macalady A, Chenchouni H, Bachelet D, McDowell N, Vennetier M, Kitzberger T, Rigling A, Breshears D, Hogg E, Gonzalez P, Fensham R, Zhang Z, Castro J, Demidova N, Lim J, Allard G, Running S, Smerci A, Cobb N (2010)A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests. Forest Ecology and Management 259: 660-684.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(2)
Barakat F, Handoufe A (1998)Approche agroclimatique de la sécheresse agricole au Maroc [Agroclimatic approach to agricultural drought in Morocco]. Sécheresse 9: 201-208. [in French]
Online |
Gscholar
(3)
Brito-Castillo L, Díaz-Castro S, Salinas-Zavala C, Douglas A (2003)Reconstruction of long-term winter streamflow in the Gulf of California continental watershed. Journal of Hydrology 278(1) 39-50.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(4)
Bunn A, Korpela M, Biondi F, Campelo F, Merian P, Qeadan F, Zang C, Pucha-Cofrep D, Wernick J (2018)dplR: Dendrochronology Program Library in R. R package version 1.6.7.
Online |
Gscholar
(5)
Castro C, McKee T, Oielke R, Pielke R (2001)The relationship of the North American Monsoon to Tropical and North Pacific Sea surface temperatures as revealed by observational analyses. Journal of Climate 14: 444-4473.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(6)
CENAPRED (2003)Ciclones tropicales [Tropical cyclones]. Centro Nacional de Prevención de Desastres - CENAPRED, Mexico DF, Mexico, pp. 55. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(7)
Cerano Paredes J, Villanueva J, Fulé P, Arreola J, Sánchez I, Valdez R (2009)Reconstrucción de 350 años de precipitación para el suroeste de Chihuahua, México [Reconstructing 350 years of precipitation in southeast Chihuahua, Mexico]. Madera y Bosque 15: 27-44. [in Spanish]
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(8)
Cleaveland M, Stahle D, Therrell M, Villanueva-Díaz J, Burns B (2003)Tree-ring reconstructed winter precipitation and tropical teleconnections in Durango, Mexico. Climatic Change 59: 369-388.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(9)
Climate Computing Project (2015)Climate Computing Project Database. Web site.
Online |
Gscholar
(10)
CONAGUA (2005)Programa de medidas preventivas y de mitigación de la sequía [Program of preventive actions and drought mitigation]. Consejo de Cuenca Río Santiago, Comisión Nacional del Agua - CONAGUA, Mexico DF, Mexico, pp. 248. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(11)
CONAGUA (2014)Programa de medidas preventivas y de mitigación de la sequía. Cuenca del río Mayo [Program of preventive actions and drought mitigation. Mayo river watershed]. Comision Nacional del Agua - CONAGUA, Mexico DF, Mexico, pp. 27-29. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(12)
Cook E, Seager R, Heim RJ, Vose R, Herweijer C, Woodhouse C (2010)Megadroughts in North America: placing IPCC projections of hydroclimatic change in a long-term palaeoclimate context. Journal of Quaternary Science 25: 48-61.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(13)
Cox B (2001)The biogeographic regions reconsidered. Journal of Biogeography 18 (4): 511-523.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(14)
Dai A (2013)The influence of inter-decadal Pacific oscillation on US precipitation during 1923-2010. Climate Dynamics 41 (3-4): 633-646.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(15)
Douglas M, Maddox R, Howard K, Reyes S (1993)The Mexican Monsoon. Journal of Climate 6: 1665-1667.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(16)
Easterbrook D (2011)Geologic evidence of recurring climate cycles and their implications for the cause of global climate changes - The past is the key to the future. In: “Evidence-Based Climate Science”, Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands, pp. 416.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(17)
Espinoza G, Arctur D, Teng W, Maidment D, García I, Comair G (2016)Studying soil moisture at national level through statistical analysis of NASA data. Journal of Hydroinformatics 18 (2): 277-287.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(18)
Fritts H (1976)Tree-rings and climate. Academic Press, New York, USA. pp. 567.
Online |
Gscholar
(19)
García E (1978)Climatology records. Licenciatura de Geografía, Colegio de Geografía, Facultada de Filosofía y Letras, National Autonomous University of Mexico, UNAM, Mexico, pp. 53. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(20)
García E (1998)Weather, vectorial shapefile, scale 1:1.000.000. Mexico. Web site. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(21)
Gershunov A, Barnett T (1998)Interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 79 (12): 2715-2725.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(22)
Higgins R, Chen Y, Douglas A (1999)Interannual variability of the North American warm season precipitation regime. Journal of Climate 12: 653-680.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(23)
Higgins W, Douglas A, Hahmann A, Beberly E, Gutzler D, Shuttleworth J, Stensrud D, Amador J, Carbone R, Cortez M, Douglas M, Lobato R, Meitin J, Ropelewski C, Schemm J, Schubert S, Zhang C (2003)Progress in Pan American CLIVAR research: the North American monsoon system. Atmósfera 16 (1): 29-65.
Online |
Gscholar
(24)
Holmes R (1994)Dendrochronology Program Library (DPL). Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Web site.
Online |
Gscholar
(25)
INEGI (2013)Continuo de elevaciones Mexicano (CEM) 3.0 [Mexican continuous elevation 3.0]. Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía - INEGI, Mexico, Web site.
Online |
Gscholar
(26)
INEGI (2016)Land use, vectorial shapefile, scale 1:250.000, serie VI. Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía - INEGI, Geoportal del Sistema Nacional de Informacion sobre Biodiversidad - CONABIO, Mexico, Web site. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(27)
Jáuregui E, Cruz F (1980)Algunos aspectos del clima de Sonora y Baja California. Equipatas y surgencias de humedad [Some aspects of Sonora and Baja California weather. Equipment’s and moisture suggestions]. Investigaciones Geográficas (10): 143-180. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(28)
Leiva A, Skees J (2008)Using irrigation insurance to improve water usage of the Río Mayo irrigation system in Northwestern Mexico. World Development 36 (12): 2663-2678.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(29)
Leverenz J (1981)Photosynthesis and transpiration in large forest-grown Douglas-fir: diurnal variation. Canadian Journal of Botany 59 (3): 349-356.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(30)
Luckman B (2010)Geoscience of Climate and Energy 6. Tree rigs as temperature proxies. Geoscience Canada 37 (1): 38-42.
Online |
Gscholar
(31)
Magaña V, Pérez J, Conde C, Gay C, Medina S (1999a)El fenómeno del El Niño y la oscilación del sur. Sus impactos en México [El Niño Southern Oscillation and their impacts in Mexico]. General Meteorology Department, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico, pp. 36. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(32)
Magaña V, Pérez J, Vázquez J, Carrizosa E, Pérez J (1999b)Los impactos de El Niño en México [El Niño impacts in Mexico]. In: “El Niño impacts in Mexico” (Magaña V ed). SEP-CONACYT, Multimedia PAOT, Mexico, pp. 23-68. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(33)
Mantua N, Hare S, Zhang Y, Wallace J, Francis R (1997)A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78: 1069-1079.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(34)
Meehl G, Goddard L, Murphy J, Stouffer R, Boer G, Danabasoglu G, Dixon K (2009)Decadal prediction: can it be skillful? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 90: 1467-85.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(35)
Meko D, Stockton W, Boggess W (1996)The tree-ring record of severe sustained drought. Water Resources 31: 789-801.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(36)
NOAA (2003)Tree ring data from the international tree-ring data bank (ITRDB). NOAA/NCDC Paleoclimatology Program, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Washington, USA, pp. 135-143.
Online |
Gscholar
(37)
Ortega-Arroyo E, Jiménez-Pérez J, Villanueva-Díaz J, Yerena J, Alanís-Rodríguez E (2018)Reconstruction of some droughts through growth rings for northern Mexico. Revista Mexicana De Ciencias Forestales 9 (50): 439-462.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(38)
Ortega-Gaucin D (2013)Caracterización de las sequías hidrológicas en la cuenca del río Bravo, México [Hydrological drought characterization in the rio Grande basin, Mexico]. Terra Latinoamericana 31: 170-171. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(39)
Ortileb L (2000)The documentary historical record of El Niño events in Peru: an update of the Quinn record (sixtheenth through nineteenth centuries). In: “El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Variability, Global and regional impacts” (Diaz HF, Markgraf V eds). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 207-295.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(40)
Pavia E, Graef F, Reyes J (2006)PDO-ENSO effects in climate of Mexico, notes and correspondence. Journal of Climate 19: 6433-6438.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(41)
Rojas Rodríguez IS (2018)Estrategia para estimar la contaminación difusa y su relación con los sistemas productivos de una cuenca hidrológica [Strategies to estimate diffuse pollution and its relationship with the productive systems of watershed]. PhD Thesis, Regional Development, Food and Development Research Center, Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico, pp. 147-204. [in Spanish]
Online |
Gscholar
(42)
Seager R, Ting M, Davis M, Cane M, Naik N, Nakamura J, Li C, Cook E, Stahle D (2009)Mexican drought: an observational modeling and tree ring study of variability and climate change. Atmosfera 22: 1-31.
Online |
Gscholar
(43)
Stahle D, Arrigo P, Krusic M, Cleaveland K, Cook E, Allan R, Cole J, Dunbar R, Therrell M, Gay D, Moore M, Stokes M, Burns B, Villanueva J, Thompson L (1998)Experimental dendroclimatic reconstruction of the Southern Oscillation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 79 (10): 2137-2152.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(44)
Stahle D, Cook E, Villanueva-Díaz J, Fye F, Burnette D, Griffin D, Acuña-Soto R, Seager R, Heim R (2009)Early 21
st century drought in Mexico. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union 90 (11): 89.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(45)
Stahle DW, Villanueva-Diaz J, Burnette DJ, Cerano-Paredes J, Heim RRJ, Fye FK, Acuna-Soto R, Therrell MD, Cleaveland MK, Stahle DK (2011)Major Mesoamerican droughts of the past millennium. Geophysical Research Letters 38 (5): L05703.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(46)
Tarik C, Grinsted A, Simko V (2017)R package “biwavelet”: conduct univariate and bivariate wavelet analyses (version 0.20.15). Web site.
Online |
Gscholar
(47)
Therrell M, Stahle D, Villanueva J, Cornejo O, Cleaveland M (2006)Tree-ring reconstructed maize yield in central Mexico: 1474-2001. Climate Change 74: 493-504.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(48)
Vera C, Higgins W, Amador J, Mechoso R, Nogues-Paegle J, Silva P, Zhang C (2006)Toward a unified view of the American Monsoon Systems. Journal of Climate (special section) 19: 4997-5000.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(49)
Vera C, Barange M, Dube O, Goddard L, Griggs D, Kobysheva N, Odada E, Parey S, Polovina J, Poveda G, Seguin B, Trenberth K (2010)Needs assessment for climate information on decadal timescales and longer. Procedia Environmental Sciences 1: 275-286.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(50)
Vicente-Serrano S, Beguería S, López-Moreno J (2010)A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming: the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index - SPEI. Journal of Climate 23 (7): 1696-1718.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(51)
Vicente-Serrano S, Camarer J, Azorin-Molina C (2014)Diverse response of forest growth to drought time-scale in the Northern Hemisphere. Global Ecology and Biogeography 23: 1019-1030.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(52)
Villanueva J, Cerano J, Fulé P, Cortés C, Vázquez L, Yocom L, Ruiz J (2015a)Four centuries of reconstructed hydroclimatic variability for Northwestern Chihuahua, Mexico, based on tree rings. Geographical Research, Geographical Institute Bulletin UNAM 87: 141-153.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(53)
Villanueva J, Cerano J, Vázquez L, Stahle D, Fulé P, Yocom L, Ramos O, Ruiz J (2015b)Dendrochronological network of mountain pine (
Pinus hartwegii Lindl.) for dendroclimatic studies in northeastern and central Mexico. Geographical Research, Geographical Institute Bulletin UNAM 86: 5-14.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(54)
Villanueva J, Gómez A, Cerano J, Rosales S, Estrada J, Castruita L, Martínez A (2017)La variabilidad del caudal del río Acaponeta inferida mediante series de anillos de crecimiento en coníferas [The streamflow variability of the Acaponeta river inferred from tree-ring series of conifers]. Technology and Water Sciences 8 (3): 55-74. [in Spanish]
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(55)
Woodhouse C, Stahle D, Villanueva J (2012)Rio Grande and Rio Conchos water supply variability over the past 500 years. Climate Research 51: 125-136.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
(56)
Xia Y, Mitchell K, Ek M, Sheffield J, Cosgrove B, Wood E, Luo L, Alonge C, Wei H, Meng J, Livneh B, Lettenmaier D, Koren V, Duan Q, Mo K, Fan Y, Mocko D (2012)Continental-scale water and energy flux analysis and validation for the North American Land Data Assimilation System project phase 2 (NLDAS-2): 1. Intercomparison and application of model products. Journal of Geophysics Research 117: D03109.
CrossRef |
Gscholar
